Monday, June 28, 2010

If Iran Gets a Nuclear Weapon Will the World Have to Get Used to It?

Nuclear proliferation is a real problem in the present period and it is getting more serious all the time. Today we have both North Korea and Iran moving forward with regards to their nuclear weapons programs. This is serious business, and we need more than merely a global discussion on this, we need to put an end to rogue nation nuclear weapon proliferation.

Not long ago, I was discussing this topic with Jesse Giraldo, a researcher on post-cold war US-Russian relation, and I asked him; what are your thoughts on Joe Biden's comment that "the world is going to have to get used to Iran being a nuclear power." You see, that statement does rather upset Israel, and makes the US sound like it is not going to do anything about it. This concerns not only our allies in the Jewish state but other allies including many Arab states in the Middle East as well.

And if Iran gets nuclear weapons, and considering their history of sponsoring proxy terrorist organizations such as Hamas and Hezbollah for instance a mushroom cloud over Tel Aviv in the next decade or more is possible. Too, since Hezbollah and Hamas are essentially reloading rockets currently, this is a problem as tensions increase.

Syria is suspicious, and they too have a hand in allowing terrorist organizations to head quarter in their nation, and yet, the US is trying to woo them with trade, under-cutting the Iran-Syria war pact, money and economic trade does seem to be a big deal to Middle Eastern nations. I suppose this economic trade could supplant Iranian trade, as Iran's economy is in the tank and civil unrest could spark again, election time. Here is what Giraldo had to say about that;

Joe Biden is quite right, as long as Iran sticks to the official tag line that the purpose of its nuclear power acquisition is for energy we don't have much of a reason to investigate the issue beyond diplomatic channels. I understand Israel's frustration but unless they can prove Iran's intentions to be otherwise I doubt America will take any actions beyond its current efforts. I suppose a mushroom cloud over Tel-Aviv is possible but I find it to be incredibly unlikely.

Jesse Giraldo also stated; I don't think Hamas and Hezbollah stand to benefit much by dropping a nuclear warhead on Israel. In addition to turning their own home into a radioactive wasteland for years the chances of them actually retaking the country back (their stated purpose and MO) would be near impossible as the U.S would immediately intervene and crush any resistance that threatens their strategically valuable and trusted ally in the Middle East. Call me crazy but I don't see AIPAC sitting silent quietly should a nuclear warhead drop on Israel.

Well, I doubt anyone would call him crazy for that understatement of the century now would they - indeed, all good points, as history unfolds and the plot thickens, aren't you all glad we live in interesting times? Well, I guess it depends how close you live to those most interesting areas doesn't it? Think on this.

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